The Republican primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District is reaching a critical phase, with less than two weeks remaining until the August 18 election. Recent polls have provided contrasting snapshots of the race, highlighting the dynamic nature of the contest. The district, which stretches from Delray Beach through parts of Broward County into Miami-Dade County, has become a focal point for Republican strategists aiming to capitalize on its new competitive landscape.

The latest surveys reveal a tight race among the top contenders. Businessman Dan Franzese and former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer are leading the pack, each with their own set of supporters and strategies. The divergent poll results underscore the volatility of the electorate and the importance of the final stretch of the campaign.

Poll Results: Franzese and Singer Lead the Pack

An internal poll conducted by McLaughlin & Associates for Franzese’s campaign, surveyed 300 likely Republican primary voters between August 1 and 2. The results placed Franzese at 28%, followed by former state Rep. George Moraitis at 23%, Singer at 19%, Joe Kaufman at 7%, and Raven Harrison at 2%. The margin of error was plus or minus 5.7 percentage points.

Among voters familiar with both Franzese and Singer, the poll found Franzese leading with 38%, Moraitis at 27%, and Singer at 18%. The survey also favorability at 42% positive to 22% negative. Singer’s favorability stood at 27% positive to 45% negative. A hypothetical endorsement from President Donald Trump would lift Franzese’s support to 46%, according to the survey.

A separate poll conducted by 1892 Polling from July 28 to 31 found Singer leading with 21%, followed by Franzese at 14% and Moraitis at 13%. Kaufman registered 7% and Harrison 3%. The margin of error for this poll was plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

Candidate Strategies and Campaign Dynamics

Michael Stwarka, a spokesman for the Singer campaign, emphasized the former mayor’s record and approach. “Recent public polling shows that voters are responding to Scott Singer’s America First vision for the district where he was born, raised, and served as Boca Raton’s mayor,” Stwarka stated. He highlighted Singer’s proven record of cutting taxes seven times, backing law enforcement, and delivering positive results for the local community. Stwarka also noted that Singer has prioritized working with President Trump and Republicans in Congress to advance the America First agenda.

Franzese, however, pushed back on the Singer campaign’s claims. “Voters have good reason to doubt pretty much anything that career politician Scott Singer says, especially now that he’s claiming to support President Trump after literally donating to his opponents and running Boca Raton like a liberal,” Franzese countered. He defended his campaign’s survey, noting that it was conducted by one of the most respected pollsters in the country, McLaughlin & Associates, which is also President Trump’s pollster.

Franzese also highlighted that nearly a third of Republicans say they’ll refuse to vote for Singer if he gets the nomination, which he believes would doom Republican chances to win the seat in November.

The Broader Landscape for November

The 25th District has been redrawn under a congressional map signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis and is viewed as more competitive for Republicans after President Donald Trump carried the district in 2026. The primary winner will face two-term Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz in November. Given Moskowitz’s high profile and substantial campaign war chest, national political committees view CD-25 as one of their premier offensive opportunities to flip a South florida seat.

The August 18 primary will determine whether voters prefer a high-profile local government executive like Singer, a well-funded outsider like Franzese, or a seasoned former legislator like Moraitis to lead the charge. The outcome will have significant implications for the political landscape of South Florida and the broader state of Florida.