The tropical weather landscape in Central Florida is evolving as Tropical Depression Two takes shape in the Gulf. This system, which formed on Sunday morning, is expected to bring significant changes to the region’s weather pattern over the coming days.
As the depression moves westward, it will drag drier air into the state, leading to a shift in weather conditions. Residents can expect more sunshine and fewer storms as the week progresses.
Overnight and Monday Forecast
Tonight, Central Florida will experience isolated showers as tropical moisture wraps around the center of Tropical Depression Two. Rain chances will hover around 20%, with lows dropping into the mid to upper 70s.
On Monday, the outer bands of the depression will clip Central Florida, bringing hit-or-miss showers throughout the day. Rain chances will top out at 40% in the afternoon, with wind gusts reaching 20-25 mph at times. Highs will hit the low 90s, with feels like temperatures around 100°F.
Week Ahead Outlook
As Tropical Depression Two continues its westward journey, drier air from the east will move into Central Florida. This, combined with a building ridge of high pressure, will dry out the atmosphere and allow temperatures to climb. Rain chances will drop to 20% by mid-week, with highs reaching the mid 90s.
The National Hurricane Center is tracking the system, which is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Bertha by late Monday. The greatest impacts, including heavy rain, will be felt west of Central Florida, particularly along the Panhandle and northern Gulf Coast.
Severe Weather Potential
While storms will not be widespread, any that develop could become strong. The Storm Prediction Center has placed most of Central Florida under a Level 1 of 5 Marginal Risk for severe weather. The strongest storms could produce wind gusts up to 55 mph, torrential downpours, and frequent lightning. Localized rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are possible, with isolated higher amounts that could lead to minor flooding.
Tropical Development in the Atlantic
The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring an area for potential tropical development in the Atlantic’s Main Development Region. However, tropical development is unlikely over the next two days, with only a 20% chance of development at this time.
Historically, most tropical systems that develop in July are homegrown threats—systems that develop close to the American coastline. Currently, water temperatures remain above average in the Gulf and off the Southeast coast.
As the week progresses, Central Florida residents can expect a gradual warming trend, with more sunshine and isolated afternoon storms. Stay tuned for updates as the tropical weather landscape continues to evolve.
